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Income tax is the amount of tax a company is liable to pay to its local government (depending where it’s based). It can be broken down into three parts: tax expense, tax payable and tax paid. All reference income tax but relate to different financial statements depending on whether the tax has been paid. Tax is nearly always seen as an operating cost and will be accounted for as a current liability if due within a 12 month period. 

Tax Expense

Tax expense is always found on the income statement and is the total tax payable on a company’s profits for the given period. This item is made up of all the taxes deferred from the prior period as well as cash taxes. The tax expense is based on the matching principle as tax is a proportion of profits for a particular period.

Tax Payable

The next item is tax payable, which reflects the actual tax cash to be paid during the period. This item will be recognized as a liability on the company’s balance sheet until it has been paid (cash down/liability down). Companies will pay tax in advance or in arrears depending on jurisdiction.

Tax Paid

The last item is the tax paid. This item is found in the cash flow statement as it refers to the actual cash paid during the period. It can be assumed for many cases that the tax paid will be the tax payable from the prior accounting period.

How do these items relate to one another?

As discussed, all of these items are related and all fall below income statement. Let’s look at a BASE analysis to better illustrate the links between these three items:

Tax payable is the amount a company owes to the tax authorities, so we can think of this figure as being the beginning amount for tax owed. Throughout the year, a company is going to be making sales and, hence, generating revenue. If they manage to generate a profit then they will have to pay a proportion of that profit amount in the form of tax expense. By the end of that same accounting year, the company will pay the tax owed so they don’t incur any penalties. This tax paid is the cash transaction and will reduce the total amount of tax to be paid. Finally, after both of these additions and subtractions, the company will arrive at its ending figure of tax payable. This figure will remain as a current liability on the company’s balance sheet.

Modeling

An analyst will want to build models and forecast company information for cash flow and valuation purposes. Generally, the focus will be on forecasting the tax expense. From a pure cash flow analysis, especially in a credit context, we will assess tax paid and tax payable as it allows us to analyze historical cash flow and forecast the impact on future cash flow.

For a relatively stable company, we normally do not forecast the changes in deferred taxes as the overall tax paid will equal the tax expense, and as companies maintain their fixed assets (capex), deferred taxes will be created each year and some released as a result of prior capex. Therefore, we expect a certain steady level of deferred taxes.

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